February 25, 2004

Tracy Hickman goes to war

The most disturbing thing I've read this week is probably L.A. Weekly's interview with Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski, formerly a regional analyst at the Pentagon. Kwiatkowski has a few things to say on the Office of Special Planning (subject of a lengthy Seymour Hersh profile last spring) and what she calls the "talking points war" in Iraq, including her explanation of why a certain faction of Pentagon policy makers wanted the conflict in the first place. I'd always shied away from primarily economic explanations of the war on the grounds that they were overly cynical -- for a long while, I was a fan of Josh Marshall's AEI conspiracy theory that stated that a certain faction of policy makers had concluded that the Middle East needed democracy right now, and they were going to bully, harass, and invade until it was achieved. But Kwiatkowski offers little support on that count. She contends there were three primary motivations for invading Iraq:

  • The US was going to be frozen out of contract gigs in a post-sanctions Iraq that the Pentagon saw as imminent.
  • American military presence in Saudia Arabia is increasingly untenable; a new place for bases was needed.
  • Food-for-Oil had been changed to use the Euro! The implications for post-sanctions oil sales were enormous.
Anyways, I'm interested in tracking down more about Kwiatkowski. Withers pointed me to an article in which she compares Rumsfeld's ideology to that of Robert Heinlein's Starship Troopers. This is not quite as insightful as policy analysis, but it does intriguely re-cast the Iraq conflict in terms of a war between speculative fiction genres: Rumsfeld, representing the forces of science fiction, against fantasy enthusiast and aspiring novelist Saddam Hussein. Surely there is a gothic horror fan in the mix somewhere.

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