Susan, as if peering into my brain, said it pretty well. But Peter's response is also apt. I will try harder to be less paralyzed by the high, keening wail that usually accompanies my attempts to make sense of the world.
Somewhat relevant: I'm a fan of Mark Schmitt's The Decembrist, which is less of a conventional rapid-fire weblog and more of a collection of essays. His recent entry on liberal thought contains a lot of things worth talking about, but this one (despite being one of the more minor points) stuck with me:
All of us, whether we write blogs or opinion journalism in traditional outlets, face the temptation to jump at every stupid thing we see come out of the administration, and there are so many that every blog journalist can sometimes be the first to catch some outrage and garner some quick notice. I've done it, and it's usually when this weblog gets the most hits and trackbacks. To use a phrase that Bush might have used once, it's like "swatting flies" instead of maintaining the discipline to really construct an alternative vision. But there are a lot of flies, they're big and they bite.
I like this imagery; it's easy for me to imagine of a secret universe of reasonable discourse, obscured by a layer of dirt and swarming with thousands of tiny, buzzing, trivialities. Schmitt is coming from somewhere on the left, but it's pretty clearly a more universal problem. All is positioning and counter-positioning, response and counter-response. I'm reminded of a passage from Neal Stephenson's The Diamond Age that, in a way, echoes Schmitt:
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I have my pet theories about a couple things in particular that seem broken, and if I'm lucky I may eventually get a few of them into words. But it's safe to say (and no great insight) that the Internet plays a role. Many aspects of the way we talk about politics don't seem to have changed that much. We're just talking about it faster.
Posted by tingley at April 18, 2004 02:01 AMAnother effect of having so much of this discussion online instead of in person is that it's harder to have certain kinds of dialogue. When you're writing for an audience of countless unknown strangers, you speak differently than if you're sitting in a room with friends or colleagues, or even with strangers who can at least see your face and hear your voice.
I think internet discussion lends itself to sound bites and impenetrable arguments, because you anticipate that whatever you say will be dissected and attacked. Whereas when you're talking in person, even if what you're saying sparks an angry response... I don't know, it's just easier to all be in it together. The conversation, I mean. Even if you're violently disagreeing with someone in person, you're still there together having drinks or whatever. Online, you're basically a single person standing on a soapbox in front of a potentially hostile crowd. Bloggers tend to speak in monologues, polarize into dogma, talk only to the audience they know will agree with them, or go on the offensive against those who won't.
There are a lot of reasons why political debate in this country is broken, but I think online debate, even while it's reflecting the wider atmosphere, has its own reasons. Lots of discussion works really well online, but it's tough to have the kind of discussion where you're sharing different perspectives in a give-and-take, and being open about the ways in which you're questioning and uncertain. I think that requires a certain trust, and it's hard to have that trust when you can't see the other person's eyes.
"We're just talking about it faster."
This goes to that thing from the Edwin T. Jaynes book (_Probability Theory: the Logic of Science_) that I've blathered at Susan and a few other people about: the same item of evidence will naturally -- mathematically, even -- reinforce both sides of an argument, provided the argument has enough contention already present.
In a nutshell, the idea is that in the absence of a clear and objective truth, it's almost always (irony quotes) more likely (irony quotes) that the source of opposing evidence is biased than that one's own opinion might be wrong. As the information flies faster, each instance of it reinforces each side's self-assurance and conviction that the respective other sides are base prevariators, all -- extreme positions that might be more likely to drift to more moderate grounds if the judgements did not have to be made so often.
As Jed noted, though, this doesn't mean that their positions have diverged, just that their sense of contrast has become exaggerated. The opposing messages have to fight it out over an ever-dwindling pool of agnostics, which means that neither side can afford to look too radical. Besides which, there's no need to energize your base when the respective bases start egging each other on recursively.
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(I've *got* to buy the book and start copying off that chapter for people, it's a must-read.)
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